Pair Thread Xbro & Reki Suite

Xbro

Bags his own tea
You can vote for self preservation. I truly want to see Sorian's flip, but I don't mind dying too much.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Welp. Missed day end. That was wild. That vote was a bit of a bad look, but it ended up doing as I had planned before. Let's see if it pays off. It's a bit scummy to say, but the whole thing was moot if Sorian flipped scum.
 
The vote looks terrible in retrospective. My bad excuse is that I had to avoid a post-count warning.

On the other hand it will get us some heat D3, when I'll be actively trying to change my playstyle considering I'll have a bit more free time.
 
By the way in the hypothetical case that it works and one of us is pulled from this chat, I'd talk about it here before sharing it with the game thread (without being too late in the day though).

More than anything because it could be read as a way of distracting conversation, so we'd need to phrase it cautiously.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
If someone else is pulled in we'll need to see and reason through why they would be pulled in.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Perhaps this would be better suited for late game ratherthan earlier. The pool might be too big.
 
Yeah. I'm expecting to get a few votes really early for the bad look of my vote yesterday.

By the way I confirmed I won't be able to be here for the next EoD (sorry!), so I'll try to participate as much as possible today and tomorrow.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
I won't be here for start of day. Technically I could be, but I want to be able to focus when I read through.
 
Ok!

Posting here first for formatting and any potential comment you may have, but my idea is simple; I want to interact with as many players as possible so in the not-so-unlikely scenario that we're mislunched, town has more information to look at in D4.

That's assuming we don't get night-killed, but since we'll probably get some heat today and a newbie may be considered easy to influence in late-game, I'm not really expecting it (unless mafia somehow thinks we have a PR).

---------

Preliminary note; I seem to recall at least one game last season in which a pre-typed post was frowned upon because it was read as a mafia strategy. I abstained from doing it N1 for that reason, but Monkey did it no problem so I thought why not. It helps when things aren't moving that frantically.

This list was started yesterday as per Terraforce's request. Trying to be less descriptive - as advised - here are some thoughts;

Verollo: Liked Verelios' big post linking Sorian and Fantomas, and his later reads on a bunch of players. He may be mafia for all I know, but at least appears to be trying to advance the game. I don't understand the "divorced feeling" he gets from SkyOdin though. You mean from his couple @Verelios?

In regards to Apollo, it's hard to get a gauge of her alignment from a few posts. Can't remember the game but I seem to think she was usually more active last season. Also refused to vote us because she liked my D1 stuff, giving a similar reason for not voting Terraforce. If possible I'd like for her to expand on this considering the last EoD.

Town-reading this pair, especially because of Verelios' efforts (aware that that could pretty well be NAI).

Dr. Stuart: By defending the notion that gossips aren't necessarily mafia on the first half of D2 they kind of indirectly defended us from that Sorian vote too (which was based on a wrong read of my question anyways) but that's obviously NAI. Happy that the Monkey vs Sorian eternal fight is over though.

But being honest my thoughts are a mess here. Both have been super nice and helpful in our exchanges and I do think they're good players who I look up to, but ever since the concept of pocketing was explained to me trying to form a thought of them is hard due to those kind words coloring my view. Where's the line between genuine courtesy and interested praise? Making things worse is the fact that pointing it out sounds ungrateful (don't want to quote but Monkey defended it as being "decent to a new player"), so unsure on how to tackle this pair. I can't get either a clean mafia or town read out of you, but I'll be closely watching for anything shady. If your plan was to mess with my thoughts then know that you succeded.

To the null zone they go.

AbsolutFat (or whatever): basically town unless something that casts doubt on the cop claim happens. That would be the time to reassess. Eager to see Fat4All's playstyle since the only thing I associate with that avatar are some funny posts all over ResetEra.

Funky Dude Geno: Haven't really engaged with Sparky because... I don't think I know how? There was some post in which he read us as mafia (forgive me if this wasn't the case!) and I thought of engaging then, but it was so weirdly phrased that I thought you... whatever.

In regards to Geno there were two things that stood out to me;
1. The Stuart push (that's a closed case so i don't want to comment too much on it).
2. Your fierce defense of Zippedpinhead at EoD, which was a bit of an overreaction at first before slowing down. You weren't alone in this (Fantomas was weird too, more about that later) but there were plenty of posters (Verelios, flatearthpandas, Monkey, etc.) who thought it wasn't a slip and pausedly worded a post about it.

This is more of a consequence of a read on another couple (Fantopinhead) but you have to be consistent with your arguments... so I'm thinking mafia on this pair.

Natforce: I've said to my partner on our chat that I like Terraforce's playstyle, since he seems ready to jump when anything looks fishy. Now this could be read as me playing nice to him after the posts in which he expressed being uncomfortable with us, and that's honestly a fair thought, but I've yet to find anything shady in his posts. Looking forward to talking with him a bit more today.

Natiko is a bit weirder. Although I do think he is putting good work (some of his stuff revisiting multiple posters is basically how I'd like my long posts to turn out) he... isn't really happy with it? What? And that vote jump that someone pointed out at EoD... it doesn't help things that he thinks Kyandonna is part of the baddies, and that's like my strongest town-read this game. Disagreement is not a good argument to distrust someone, but it certainly will lead me to watch him closely D3.

Balancing both leads to a null slightly leaning town.

Coolest_Prodigy: Regarding Lone_Prodigy, can't remember íf it was Maple Street or HoH, but I loved how effective - for lack of a better term - they were while still keeping a low profile.

That CoolestSpot's double-vote reveal was so casual, but as far as I've espectated (and that's admitedly not so much!) it's usually a town ability. So I'd reassess if anything contradictory arises, but they're a town-read for now.

Pirate Malus: Although I wasn't a fan of Pirate Bae being so vague with the stuff that happened on N1, I liked her posts closer to EoD. Mostly agreed with her Vere/Terraforce thoughts.

I don't get how our interactions with other players would make for a good info. lunch (it's basically WIFOM if I'm using the term correctly) but I'll share something with you. Today and tomorrow are far better days for me to play (not so much friday but whatever) so I'll be actively trying to engage with a variety of posters. That could lead you to think I'm trying to mess with the potential info. an hypothetical mafia!Rexbro flip could get you, considering the change in activity at least as shady. That's fair, so go with that argument if you must.

I don't have a strong opinion of malus, so add him to the list of people I'll have to look at today (this is getting too big!) but I'm trusting the cop claim. Not because of the green-check - any mafia player could give a real green-check, as has been pointed out - but because we have yet to see a counter-claim (it may be too early for that though?). If things change I'll reassess, but right now they're town for me.

TheSkyChugger: I liked SkyOdin's stuff D1, it seemed like he was making good points and actively engaging. Same can be said about Chugg, but I'd like to hear Verelios' comment on this before commiting to a full read of the couple.

BrawaveZ: I do find it odd to be constantly doubting Brazil due to a different amount of activity in comparison to past games considering his explanation for that. Especially seeing that when he posts, the content and mafia-hunting is there. In this regard it's pretty similar to my read on Verelios. As far as I remember he avoided voting either Monkey or Sorian at EoD, and ultimately agreed on the SkyOdin vote... with Verelios. Similar, huh?

It's FluxWaveZ who feels more fishy to me. This argument could very well collapse on its own, and it's ironic to write this since it's kind of similar to the way Xbro and I approach the game, but it reads like the majority of his short posts are pointing out the smallest details. Like a baddie who's ready to help start a fire on anyone who's not aligned with him. Worst of all is I actually agree with some of his stuff, and that's not the playstyle I'd like to develop nor think it's the most effective.

Null slightly, just slightly leaning mafia for these two.

Raxander or something: drawing a blank here, although I do remember Vincent Alexander's EoD vote feeling a bit empty before the alledged slip. I seem to remember he shared some reads so I'll go check that before passing judgement.

Fake edit: rac doubled down on the Pirate Bae vote right? I think some veteran also said that he wouldn't let a claimed PR surviving a night phase alone, so I'd guess he's being consistent. Although that contradicts my read of her - and it makes no sense to continue pushing for it until we have more information - I do think it's just a misplaced vote, so this is a light town couple right now.

Kyonna: As said in an earlier post, town-leaning here. I'd go as far as to say they're the ones I town-read the most, based on looking up all of their posts and finding nothing fishy. The only thing they said that contradicted my impression was Donna answering she felt they were working well as a couple when the vote on D1 was split. I don't really want to go there though since Natiko already did and they both voted S-Dubs D2, so it really looks like a coordinated pair as of late. By the way thank you both for answering my questions!

FlatearthStan: To be brutally honest I don't have anything here. That's on me though because I hate hate hate Stantastic's avatar - only beaten in my scary-meter by ElFotografoAlocado's - and I just scroll down fast when I see it. Null for now I guess, I'll ask my partner to read them.

Fantopinhead: I don't think Zippedpinhead's "slip" warranted a vote there, but he basically handwaved it. That isn't enough though, right? Well, Fanto has been definitely playing in a different way than past games (I hope it works for you!), but I have to agree with two points raised by others;
1. He seemed a bit too worried about Verelios after his posts linking him to Sorian (although admittedly his focus was Natiko).
2. He got extremely defensive over that whole Zippedpinhead alleged slip just because of a few votes. I could see a timeline in which that could have turned out worse for them, but that looked a bit unwarranted at the time. There may be another explanation to this but I don't really want to go there now, and we could eventually end up there depending on how the day plays out.

Now I do agree that Zippedpinhead "slip" is weird, but if I'm reading veterans right slips are extremely rare ocurrences. I don't get the panic over it, to the point of calling out someone (Monkey) who articulated thoroughly why it could be real but still deciding against voting there. And all of this leads to...

Wouldn't vote today: Verollo, AbsolutFat, Coolest_Prodigy, Pirate Malus, Kyonna.

Would vote today: Fantopinhead, Funky Dude Geno. In fact, and just to avoid the EoD situation I've been in already;

VOTE:Fantomas

This is something I told Xbro at the time, but that post by Pirate Bae trashing our stuff so far and the Fantomas vote shortly after were timed in a... weird way. Now, as said above, I'm not thinking Pirate Malus are mafia, but that doesn't mean that didn't read coordinated at the time. Including the later votes on us from that pair.

I can see Fanto's argument (wanting to start another train and trusting other players' reads) but Kyanrute points out something interesting I hadn't noticed, questioning it;
Why are both of your alternatives to Sorian on people you haven't seemingly touched at all today? You've done work I'll give you that, but there was not much I saw on Xbro or Chuggs. All the work and you go for those you haven't talked with or expressed prior suspicion of?

Yeah @Fantomas, I don't remember talking too much with you. Do you have any questions? Do you mind me asking some?

Now... there's something that gives me pause, as a certain Dr. likes to say. I liked Verelios' post about the Sorian/Fantomas link, and it turns out that Sorian flipped town. It could be just town!Fantomas following the lead of Sorian and trusting their reads/votes. But one of B-Dubs' final comments was;
Also, this 100% feels like scum Fanto. When we flip town take a close look at them.

This doesn't contradict the above, but I do agree that it's a good place to look at.

---------

As a final note, I do feel like my votes have been trash so far - lacking in both concise reasoning and conviction - so I didn't want to touch that point too much in regards to other players, even though there are a few weird ones.

Also Spec please don't roast me.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Alright I'm going to say now that I'm fairly certain we are at 3 scum teams this game.

That being said, I'm giving a huge side eye to Monkey and TheSkyChugger.

TheChuggernaut has, from what I can see, avoided the discourse about opposing messaging roles completely.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
I keep trying to go through a Terra/Natiko read but I keep getting interrupted.

If you want something to go through, I'd start either there, or with Sorian's arguments against Monkey. Sorian was bringing out a ton of good points, one of the main ones being that Monkey was ignoring all the good ones.
 
Some unexpected stuff appeared here but I should be able to continue engaging with everyone tomorrow morning.

Yeah I'll try and talk/get a better read on Natiko.

What do you think of FlatearthStan? They're a black point in my reads.
 
Yeah sorry I hadn't answered, being behind and talking in parallel to both Monkey and Fanto has me typing like crazy.

By the way there's something I wanted to discuss. I'm answering Monkey's questioning about my weak Kyandonna read. I noticed that if I word it in a certain way I can bait a NK. Would you be ok with that? I mean this;

Monkey, if I got this right you aren't making the point that Kyandonna could be mafia - you said that it would be unlikely for gossips to be baddies - but rather criticizing my weak read on them. As I said in my post no, I didn't catch the clues, sorry for that. And as admitted, yeah, it's a #feels-read, which makes your points ring true if you think of us and Pirate malus being partners. So, how can I answer this? Referring to a vote only a dead doctor (RIP) called out;
Being honest, this vote is just from an Xbro "self-preservation" recommendation.
VOTE:Sorian

Early on our partner chat Xbro and I established that we liked to keep a low profile. We jumped at what felt right to and made small comments from time to time. A variety of players have called our approach either low activity or just plain coasting, and they have reason to think so. But we've persisted, to the point that when Pirate Bae basically dismissed all of our stuff in not so nice terms we didn't even comment - that was the right call then -.

So tell me. You and others have pointed out at our limited interactions with other players. Why would mafia!Reki put ourselves on the line with that vote casted on an already decided lunch literally 20 seconds before EoD, making it potentially one of the most scrutinized overnight?

---------

I just can't see town winning this after a mislunch/another PR night-killed. Although re-reading it now seems like I'm badly overreacting.
 
Oh yeah, forgot I erased that line. Monkey speculated with "you have more info" and I'd answer something cryptic about it. If she pushes for it or not that's on her.
 
Take your time! Also things have slowed down in the last hour or so, thankfully. Probably related to eight players - some of them really chatty - being out already.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Monkey's argument about scum sitting on a cop for days basically means there's scum between Monkey and Bae
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Here's a kicker. If bae was lying, they would have needed to gotten the story straight before Bae was called in to the gossip chat. Bae and Malus couldn't communicate during the night. I need to ask two questions to verify this.
 
That's right. But if she was leaving breadcrumbs during D1, that means that she at least thinking of it early.

And it could also be the case that she is a mafia role cop, which would make it easier for them to lie.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
I think if we lynch Bae and Bae is town, we absolutely need to go after monkey. But in this case we would absolutely have been played. Monkey's entire plan for the day is just to get through it.
 
Yeah, we're super close to the point of no return, and considering Monkey is one of the best players still alive I could see her getting herself out of a lunch on D4 too.

Another option; it's just Town v Town. I'm not completely sold on the idea that at least one of either Pirate Bae or Monkey is mafia.
 
ANNOUNCEMENT:


Due to maintenance tomorrow, the day phase will be extended by five hours to compensate.


New Day End Time is:

g24ub787g8

I may be there for EoD after all.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Oddly enough, I'm more relaxed as scum then town. Also, I happen to line my shady one liners
 
Yes, we're getting mislunched. Monkey and Natiko will be on me until we're dead. Unless we can bait a NK first.

I'm just resigned now, and just want to have some fun.
 
Yeah, if she's mafia she's been playing a really good game. There's nothing left of that "You'd be right in lunching us" rhetoric by now.

Kind of frustrated that a lot of players have low-activity playstyles too and we're the ones being read as suspicious.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Also Kyan being the Gossip was the main reason I backed off on anything relating the Gossips to scum. I have felt good about Kyan this entire game, so I don't see what the big deal is there.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
I think you're getting a bit too nervous. Never ignore any points, but at the same time, don't be too defensive. It's okay to concede some points, explain some things reasonably. If the other person is town, they'll drop some of those issues.
 
Also Kyan being the Gossip was the main reason I backed off on anything relating the Gossips to scum. I have felt good about Kyan this entire game, so I don't see what the big deal is there.

You're right, and as said I wouldn't reassess them unless something really weird happens.

I had a thought about this. Since,
a) Monkey is pushing me for that Kyonna read
b) We'll be lunch candidates depending on the Pirate malus flip
c) Donna feeling kind of good about us

She may try and convince Kyanrute to visit us N3. That'd be a waste on vanilla and anything we say won't give them any evidences we're town, but it could happen nonetheless.

I think you're getting a bit too nervous. Never ignore any points, but at the same time, don't be too defensive. It's okay to concede some points, explain some things reasonably. If the other person is town, they'll drop some of those issues.

Yeah, sorry for that. Looking back it reads unreasonable, but it was late and I went to bed thinking about which new points could I bring up today.

Thinking it better after sleeping the best approach is to avoid that discussion until we're really endangered, it got stale pretty fast. Thank you for the comment, it solidifies that choice.

By the way two things;
a) That gif is hilarious, laughing way more than I should. Was that your mafia team in some game?
b) Did we get anything else last night? The confirmation maybe? Era is under maintenance and although they said up to 5 hours some times this things take way longer (which is understandable).
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
I wouldn't be surprised at all if the bae thing was a mistake on someone's part. Really Monkey is super suspicious but I can't reconcile them both being scum.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
I worry that if bae flips town, everyone will go after Geno leaving monkey Scott free. It's imperative that we're either there to swerve it, or someone else is if we're not.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
I really worry about it, but I'd be fine if someone turbo'd. I won't be the one doing it.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Two shot. That's convenient. I might still be in the tunnel, but here's a thought. What if Monkey's scum, their role is useful.

Once it was clear that Monkey was on the block for day 3, she laid out a plan. They had used their role cop up, and her role was better. There was a good chance they were losing a scum member that day, so they decided to make the most of it and gain a ton of town cred in the process. Monkey outs the huge plan and leads a train on Bae, all while successfully completely diverting attention from them.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Luckily we've presented ourselves as easy targets for a mislynch, but I'm worried that monkey has taken note of all the shade I've thrown, and decides it's best for us to die
 
Two shot. That's convenient. I might still be in the tunnel, but here's a thought. What if Monkey's scum, their role is useful.

Once it was clear that Monkey was on the block for day 3, she laid out a plan. They had used their role cop up, and her role was better. There was a good chance they were losing a scum member that day, so they decided to make the most of it and gain a ton of town cred in the process. Monkey outs the huge plan and leads a train on Bae, all while successfully completely diverting attention from them.

So you want to go further with this theory? It makes sense, but even if we pushed for the case, Dr. Stu is one of the loudest pairs and have successfully flipped the odds against them more than once this game. Unsure of Fantomas' alignment (it could pretty well be that he distanced from Monkey at day start just in case she got lunched), but he'll probably end siding with Dr. Stu. She has some town cred and Verelios isn't looking that good right now.

The potential players we could convince would be Kyanrute (that presented this same theory), SkyOdin (that doubted Fantomas) and Verelios himself. Natforce could make some noise in either direction, but they were a bit more distant D3.

Luckily we've presented ourselves as easy targets for a mislynch, but I'm worried that monkey has taken note of all the shade I've thrown, and decides it's best for us to die

This could be plausible. To be honest I wouldn't even mind.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
I think geno would definitely side with us. I can convince fantomas. If I make enough noise then it can't really be ignored.

Even if everyone is convinced Vere is scum, knowing that Dr. Stu is a good Power Role should be enough.

I think Geno or Kyan might be the most likely NK
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Something irl came up, hopefully it'll be sorted out and I can focus, but I might need you to head the charge if not.
 
Sad to hear, hope you can sort it out and everything is fine!

And don't worry, I'll see what I can do here.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
I should be able to head off on it. I'll start building a post about 2 hours beforehand. I'll have three variations for if Kyan dies, Geno dies or neither dies
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Putting some notes here for later while I'm reading and compiling.

#2210 - Stuart completely disregards Sorian's entire reason for thinking the thieves are scum.
#4016 - Kyan calls out the plan
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
I was very close to calling out Fantomas, saying something along the lines of "Or you can just admit to being on the same team, that'll work too" at the end of my post
 
Just arrived, I'll start reading.

Although I'm side-eyeeing him I'd leave Fantomas for later, he could be helpful - as you said - especially now that Geno is gone.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
On the EOD vote explanation, be entirely truthful. You were considering self-voting, then I told you you could vote for self preservation if it came down to it.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Hook line and sinker. I intentionally threw out that post about Stuart to see if he would ignore everything else in the post to call out on that.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
19 threads
17 pairs
1 scum thread
1 spec thread
3 gossip chats
14 pairs remaining

3 scum teams.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
I'm going to casually drop a 3 scum teams message and frame it as a slip.

Just warning you in advance.

If getting mislynched will get people to actually read my posts then I will do it.
 
Yeah. Both Kyanrute and rac could jump in, but they're not ready to commit yet.

By the way that day start was a bit too mean/confrontational. I believe we have to be a bit more cautious to gather sustantive support.

Although, as said, I wouldn't mind a lunch. I'd even propose a deal.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Worry not. I've got more on Monkey. The further I drag the current point the more that arrives.

I just presented the roadblock of reconciling Monkey and Bae being scum together.
 
Go ahead on the Monkey stuff, but we'll need to be cautious to gather support.

Unless you're resigned to death (which is the most probable outcome to be honest).
 
Do you mind me claiming vanilla? I just want to settle that so they don't say tomorrow that we took our time to prepare an argument or something.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
I could see a SkyChuggernaut scum team. SkyOdin deliberately ignored my entire post, to the point where I'm not sure if he read it.

I'm still hanging on the Fantozipped/Dr. Stu scum train
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Also I have a rule where I can't respond to posts that voted for me, so I might need you to say something along the lines of "Have I got some news for you" To stuart's vote post
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
"Especially: is there someone who never thought so? as good a thread as any to follow."

I legit haven't thought Vereollo are scum throughout the game. If I bring this up without anything of substance it will look too suspicious, so I'll leave it out.
 
Also I have a rule where I can't respond to posts that voted for me, so I might need you to say something along the lines of "Have I got some news for you" To stuart's vote post

And now I wish I had read this first.

Do you still want me to say anything else?
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Alright Reki, I need you to read over the conversation between Monkey and Sorian starting from post #2838
 
Looking back yeah, she did.

Although I'm not sure it was ill-intentioned, since she seemed a bit tired of the back-and-forth and wanted to put out some reads.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Read the contents of Sorian's arguments prior to that though.

And give me a second to find the post number of another thing.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Until I find it though, Monkey has more or less done the same thing today. Monkey said she would go through my post with a red pen. She never did. I've been waiting. I can't help but feel she's trying not to draw attention away from this.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Found it.

#2121

Stuart asks an unrelated question, monkey later says she "dropped" her response to Sorian's posts in favor of Sorian answering Stuart's questions.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
I'm going to draft up a long, long post. Once we hit 10 votes, I'll give you a signal and I want you to vote for me. I'll then make my post outlining all of the information and thoughts I have, including throwing the Fantomas in there, then hammer.
 
#2121 is a great post, sound like a more engaged Sorian. I can see where you're coming from.

Reading back I found this regarding Monkey and had a laugh;

Sorian said:
you still won’t kill her until like day 5.


I'm going to draft up a long, long post. Once we hit 10 votes, I'll give you a signal and I want you to vote for me. I'll then make my post outlining all of the information and thoughts I have, including throwing the Fantomas in there, then hammer.

I was thinking the only way out was self-voting, happy to see this.

But we'll get some "They were playing anti-town anyways, turboing didn't left any time for discussion" after the lunch.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Which is why it is essential that I put out a long post encouraging people to read my posts, Sorian's post and Geno's posts. As well as the Stuart conversation at the start of the day and Monkey's stance on the zipped issue at day 2 end
 
Yeah, just focus on writing that.

We'll need to be super synchronized for my vote and your post to be the last of the day, so it's probably a good idea to make a double confirmation here before committing.
 

Xbro

Bags his own tea
Absolutely. I need to ruffle a few feathers to get 3 more votes though. Who would be best to ruffle. Hmm.
 
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