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Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
If they lynch you, we have two nights to summon the wincon

If they lynch me, one night

Well better than nothing
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
Chill man, relax it's just a game, you've done all you could, your chances are pretty good anyway, Vere's deck is thinned out, he's drawn almost half his cards.
That sounded more angry than it was supposed to, sorry. I'm really a good part amused at whatd happening, I'm overplaying the angry part a bit.

Still a little angry though!
 
That sounded more angry than it was supposed to, sorry. I'm really a good part amused at whatd happening, I'm overplaying the angry part a bit.

Still a little angry though!
I do hope the meal you're making is good though, I make the best food when angry.
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
Don't think I'll ever completely stop, gyros is too good, but if I ate once a week I'd be satisfied
Man with the lockdown I cant go to our usual Greek restaurant anymore at work for lunch break, one of the first things I'll do once it's all over
 
Man with the lockdown I cant go to our usual Greek restaurant anymore at work for lunch break, one of the first things I'll do once it's all over
You're in Germany right? In Heidelberg where I was the Greek Restaurants were pretty much the same quality as here, in Frankfurt and Stuttgart too, they make good stuff.
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
You're in Germany right? In Heidelberg where I was the Greek Restaurants were pretty much the same quality as here, in Frankfurt and Stuttgart too, they make good stuff.
Yeah, I'm not in any big city but they're still good regardless.
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
If they lynch you, we have two nights to summon the wincon

If they lynch me, one night

Well better than nothing
If they lynch me, does Vere still have lynchproof the next day? Then its also two nights
 
You have inherited the mafia's kill, give me a bit and I'll draw the card, you also get OJ's block, 1 of you can use it
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
Terra removed Blargs lynchproof right, and someone else the deathproof from ATP right? Who was it?
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
Hawthorn said she killed ATP. We wanna RB her just in case? Our RB is night only anyway, nothing we can do if somebody has a day action to remove lynchproof
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
Hawthorn said it was a one shot vig, but if we dont have a better alternative we might as well RB there. Tell me if I'm forgetting someone important to block.
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
Also, you can draw another card when the day starts? So we could win during the day too?
 

Verelios

Were-elios
Hawthorn said it was a one shot vig, but if we dont have a better alternative we might as well RB there. Tell me if I'm forgetting someone important to block.
Yeah, let's RB her then.

I think we can kill Brazil to shade Terra and put doubt on his scan.
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
Roleblock: Hawthorn

You can send the kill before the night actions lock then Vere.
 

Verelios

Were-elios
I'll do this now in case actions lock but I want to hear from Muffin on if it's good.
I ACTIVATE THE SPELL CARD ENEMY CONTROLLER: TERRAFORCE; LAUNCHPAD
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
I'll do this now in case actions lock but I want to hear from Muffin on if it's good.
I ACTIVATE THE SPELL CARD ENEMY CONTROLLER: TERRAFORCE; LAUNCHPAD
It's fine, if Terra had something he could use at least he wont direct it at us. If you can spare that card, no reason not to use it right now
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
2/15 isnt a good chance, but it depends on how many draws we can do from here on

Lets say they lynch me tomorrow, and need another two days for Vere in the best case.

Thats 3 days + 3 nights and maybe another day if you draw at day start before getting instalynched.

So seven draws:
2/15,
2/14,
2/13,
2/12,
2/11,
2/10,
2/9

Any of these chances is hit and we win.
 

Verelios

Were-elios
2/15 isnt a good chance, but it depends on how many draws we can do from here on

Lets say they lynch me tomorrow, and need another two days for Vere in the best case.

Thats 3 days + 3 nights and maybe another day if you draw at day start before getting instalynched.

So seven draws:
2/15,
2/14,
2/13,
2/12,
2/11,
2/10,
2/9

Any of these chances is hit and we win.
Hawthorn just activated some risk shit though. God I hope someone visited me so I can summon my last BEWD and not worry about what happens.
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
So

2/15,
2/14,
2/13,
2/12,
2/11
This would mean the probability of none of these events occurring is:
13/15*12/14*11/13*10/12*9/11 = 0.428

The probability of getting the draw at least once is thus 0.572.
 

Verelios

Were-elios
Worst would be if they catch on that we can still win with your summon and try to get you first. Would cut it down to one night, two days.
That would be a dick move.

Also not sure if Launch sees VA could steal with rebellion.
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
That would be a dick move.

Also not sure if Launch sees VA could steal with rebellion.
You think he's gonna try pinning the stealing on us? Would be easy enough to point out that hes wrong if he tries
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
Lol, I know he wants to. He's been gearing up for this since yesterday. Pretty sure he's hunting us.
The miller thing threw a bit a wrench in what we're doing, but it doesnt matter at this point, they need two or three lynches to kill us anyway..

If I knew we were gonna claim neutral later I would never have claimed miller lol, it doesnt make sense together

I couldnt just 180 though and say "haha, no the miller thing was a lie" and then flip miller anyway. This miller-where-you-scan-explicitly-mafia thing is dumb, but better double down, its more believable than sudden heel turn.

The LP thing was hard too, dont know if "lol we redirected at the cop" was the better option there
 

Verelios

Were-elios
The miller thing threw a bit a wrench in what we're doing, but it doesnt matter at this point, they need two or three lynches to kill us anyway..

If I knew we were gonna claim neutral later I would never have claimed miller lol, it doesnt make sense together

I couldnt just 180 though and say "haha, no the miller thing was a lie" and then flip miller anyway. This miller-where-you-scan-explicitly-mafia thing is dumb, but better double down, its more believable than sudden heel turn.

The LP thing was hard too, dont know if "lol we redirected at the cop" was the better option there
In hindsight we could have said that we saw a kill and could randomize it after actions lock, but I bet that would still cause them to attack us.
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
Geno, if Vere draws a card, gets the Poly and is lynched on the same day, does he have to be here to post a command to win before the lynch goes through?
 
Geno, if Vere draws a card, gets the Poly and is lynched on the same day, does he have to be here to post a command to win before the lynch goes through?
I'll auto win it, anyway it's not the card unfortunately, it's Blue Eyes Shining Dragon
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
Anyway,
@Muffin move some units to the right once day starts so we block out Australia.
Did it, this is pretty great that theyre not looking to lynch us. That Sorian post especially, lol

As for Risk we just have to not make any suspicious moves.
 

Verelios

Were-elios
This day has nothing to do with us, haha. I'm just watching them eat each other from Australia
68736e555f349414dcc9802428cdc828_w200.gif
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
What do you think, is there actually still some cult left? 50/50 on it myself. Not that it would matter much to us, hunting a real or an imaginary cult, both buys us time.
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
Also Vere I assume you dont have any cards left over that you dont need for our wincon, but could use to draw or summon cards from the deck or something, to reduce the deck size, right? Like those X Y and Z cards.
 

Verelios

Were-elios
Also Vere I assume you dont have any cards left over that you dont need for our wincon, but could use to draw or summon cards from the deck or something, to reduce the deck size, right? Like those X Y and Z cards.
Good thinking, I have Z metal tank.
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
Good thinking, I have Z metal tank.
So you could play it to get X and Y from the deck? That would cut deck size by two, can you do it anytime? Also you're sure you dont need it for our wincon right, I'm not as much in this as you are so I better ask lol
 

Verelios

Were-elios
So you could play it to get X and Y from the deck? That would cut deck size by two, can you do it anytime? Also you're sure you dont need it for our wincon right, I'm not as much in this as you are so I better ask lol
Nope, don't need it. Just used it to summon X, so if we don't get Poly I'll use X to summon Y.
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
I told em about the redirect at Stan, now that we claimed neutral it makes no sense to hold back.
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
Ehhhh if they ever start trying to lynch us again, better not mention your 1 shot lynchproof, Terra got a role upgrade, maybe he got another shot to remove lynch/deathproof
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
Aeleus is dead but day isnt over

This sucks, they could kill us before you can draw another card
 

Muffin

Born with a heart full of neutrality
Only hope is that it takes them too long to follow the kill chain to you before the 48 hours are up, Vere :(
 
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