Team Big Ben Assassin

Verelios

Were-elios
Welcome, Assassin and their Master. Sheathe your arms and have some rest for the night, for the battle begins anew tomorrow.
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
I was kind of mulling over how much we should share with one another about our roles, but after what happened between Salva and I last game, maybe it'd be best to hold off until we get a little more confidence we're both town lol
 

Stantastic

Our Badminton Stanpion
Sure looks like it.

So i still aint caught up on the last 5 pages or so and it will be a minute till i can, anything amongst all that you think i should pay particular attention to when i go through it?
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
I got drunk partway through that and didn't keep up at all with what happened. I need to catch up myself now that I'm sobered up. lol

So let me just tell you what my role is because if you have any thoughts on the game, it'll be useful to get them out there. I'm an Announcer. I don't have any command seals. The flavor is I'm a servant in a master's body. LoVe gave me a choice on N0 between two ways my role could work. The way I choose was that I will be told after night actions lock who died and any other information that could in the day opening post. At that point, I have until day start to send LoVe a PM with what I want announced. I can say basically anything I want as long as it's within the rules - so reads is what I was going to do, but I was planning on doing it in character as a wrestling announcer and with goofy images. lol I'm starting to work on it now so that I have it ready and just insert whatever thoughts I have about the night kill then so it's a quick turnaround.

I won't be able to get my announcement post through if I die that night, though, although that would be the least of our worries. I was hoping putting myself out there would have scum read me as a servant who wasn't concerned with dying, but if that doesn't work out well sorry and RIP
 

Stantastic

Our Badminton Stanpion
Lol i dig it.

Im leaning on the side of trusting you but i think ill hold onto my role a bit longer, i will say you aint missing anything with it atm.
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
no worries, do you thing. if there’s anything you want in the announcement, let me know.

though i said i was going to post reads and i spent more time making images lol hopefully i get some time later today to revisit that
 

Stantastic

Our Badminton Stanpion
yeah i might have spent my free time today getting back to reading One Piece instead of reviewing the game.... i do not apologise.

Hmm, i dont have anything that springs to mind for the announcement, i probably need to see just what your going for first, but i bet ill have some idea for future ones lol.
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
That Z-Beat push didn’t feel right with me. I didn’t see the mess of votes flowing through right before and I let Nat goad me into switching my vote. There was scum there somewhere, I don’t know if it was VA or ATP or who.

How you feeling?
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
Terra sitting off wagon while clearly present looks really bad. HP going off-wagon at the last second after Reki got lit up for the doing the same also looks bad.
 

Stantastic

Our Badminton Stanpion
Feel like shit right now lol.

Hey did Fates push on me right at the end there feel weird to you?
The antagonistic response to me showing up and the several posts on starting the train on me again all felt very out of step with both the kind of ire iv earned and esp the situation at hand .
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
Weird, yes. If it were any other player, it would be totally out of sorts, but Fate is just generally all over the place. He flipped his read on me like 3 times today. I have doubts about him and his self-watcher claim, but I'm not sure enough to push on him.

fuck man, Nat always makes me so paranoid, I can't read him at all. I can't tell if he's legitimately town or just screwing with us. He was a big drum banger for this train to start with, and I could see him playing this off if he's scum.

going to try to get the rest of my thoughts together for the announcement and I'll share anything interesting I see with you.

Verelios said:
[He/Him] Blargonaut|Blarg UTC- 6 has replaced Oliver James
oh...
 

Stantastic

Our Badminton Stanpion
Jesus i went back to sleep and just died for 3 more hours lol.

If im feeling more up to it later i will have sn actual go at rereading Fate or Natiko, i should probably start putting in more effort than not at all and theyre the two im most intrigued by right this minute.
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
on a reread, I think Fate’s suspicion on you feels legitimate. He’s a little wild trying to start a train on you, but it doesn’t read as scum motivated to me. scum!Fate last game wasn’t so bold, he probably would’ve asked why you voted for Z-Beat all of a sudden.

Nat presenting a case on Z-Beat before actually voting stands out to me. He managed to convince Fate to vote there before voting himself. This is just after voting for you minutes earlier. It might’ve been to see if there were any takers for a counter wagon since yours wasn’t picking up steam. It’s hard to tell who the scum in those wagons was, though - I can trace back a lot of the late votes away from VA to some other motivation. Pretty convinced Reki is VA’s lover, and they shouldn’t know for certain VA is town or scum, for example. Certainly scum!Reki would not continue to hint that they’re partners without thinking about potential consequences. Faddy trusts Nat. Of the wagons, ATP seems a likely candidate, since the big swing happened when he was still in contention. I’m not sure, though.

This is just what stood out to me about these two when I looked yesterday. I’ll be back in a few hours with some more stuff.
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
Ok, here's the first draft of my vote movement summary and some conclusions:

  • First up, we have FateShirou. He did not provide an explanation, but might have been swayed by Natiko’s reasoning starting on post #1744!! He moved over from Leo to be there. He also said he did not feel good about the vote, and tried to start a new train on Stan with only 7 minutes to go at day end!
  • Second up, we have the Ace himself, Natiko! A large proponent of this train, he provided several arguments against Z-Beat and finally moved from Stan to vote for him!
  • Next we have Hobohodo, who moved a vote from AllThingsPurple (previously in contention for being voted out) to ZBeat.
  • Realizing that he’s all alone now, Hedin moves his vote from Reki to ATP.

At this point in the game, the votes are listed on post #1829 as:
  • AllThingsPurple - 4
  • Z-Beat - 4
  • Vincent Alexander - 3
  • Ty4on - 3
  • Leo - 3
  • Stantastic - 2

It was an incredibly tight race, and if there was scum involved, might make fellow teammates extremely nervous!! Let’s keep going!!

  • Pandora throws down a vote on Z-Beat - not a great look, considering they had not even mentioned Z-Beat until this vote!! That’s one to look out for, for certain!
  • Ty4on moves to Vincent Alexander, also without much of an explanation! How sketchy!
  • SkyOdin cries “process of elimination”, and votes for Z-Beat
  • Random pulls off of AllThingsPurple to go to Z-Beat!
  • Hedin jumps ship from AllThingsPurple to Vincent Alexander, as well!
  • FluxWaveZ finally plants a vote, on none other than Vincent Alexander!

For those keeping score at home, that puts the votes at: Z-Beat - 7, Vincent Alexander - 6

  • Stan listlessly votes for Z-Beat next!
  • Vincent Alexander joins the Z-Beat train, as well! Self-preservation at its finest!
  • Launch finally makes up his mind and votes for Vincent Alexander!
  • SephiZack votes for Vincent Alexander, too, as we now know for self-preservation!
  • and… what’s this?? A ROLE CLAIM from Vincent Alexander!? He claims… power manipulator!? Surely this is not a believable claim for a town player and would cause several players to vote him out, wouldn’t it!?
  • Z-Beat with the self-preservation vote to Vincent Alexander!
  • HPSauce goes to… Daddy!? I mean… Daddy!? A bold choice!
  • Faddy moves to Z-Beat to avoid potential ties
  • Reki goes to Z-Beat to protect Vincent Alexander, lending more credence the the possibility that they are lovers!
  • Then… oh, a shocking twist! Launch is called out for voting with FluxWaveZ, who he’d been suspecting, and moves his vote to Z-Beat!
  • In another interesting twist, Terraforce who posted several times near day end, was completely off wagon despite saying he agreed with a Z-Beat vote!

And with this, we come to some conclusions!

  • There was likely scum between AllThingsPurple, Vincent Alexander, Ty4on, and Leo that caused the massive push to Z-Beat in the final hour of the day phase.
  • Natiko presents an argument for Z-Beat on 1744, but instead votes for Stan on #1757, also saying he would "vote Leo over VA over all the rest should it come down to it". After Fate votes for Z-Beat, Natiko moves his vote to Z-Beat. Natiko also calls out Launch on #1908 for voting alongside FluxWaveZ, a potential goad. Potential read is that Natiko was pushing several avenues to get votes off of VA or someone in "all the rest".
  • On the other hand, Launch waiting until the final moments to vote for Vincent Alexander, then switching to Z-Beat when called out for not applying his logic consistently, is just as notable. Also engages in hand-wringing ahead of Z-Beat's ejection on #1880.
  • FateShirou tries to peel off votes from Z-Beat on #1883, and tries to start a train on Stan in the final moments of the day phase. A bold move for any player.
  • Reki's insistence on keeping Vincent Alexander alive is displayed on #1917. Notably, he is not on Reki's "Wouldn't Vote" list on #1720.

------------------

Still working on some reads
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
Trying to make all this easier to parse, this might be what I end up posting

Natiko: Reki > Stan (ATP-4, Leo-4, VA-3, Ty-3, Stan-3, Reki-1, Z-Beat-1)
FateShirou: Leo > Z-Beat (ATP-4, Leo-3, VA-3, Ty-3, Stan-3, Reki-1, Z-Beat-2)
Natiko: Stan > Z-Beat (ATP-4, Z-Beat-3, Leo-3, VA-3, Ty-3, Stan-2, Reki-1)
Hobo: ATP > Z-Beat (Z-Beat-4, ATP-3, Leo-3, VA-3, Ty-3, Stan-2, Reki-1)
Hedin: Reki > ATP (Z-Beat-4, ATP-4, Leo-3, VA-3, Ty-3, Stan-2)
Pandora: Launchpad > Z-Beat (Z-Beat-5, ATP-4, Leo-3, VA-3, Ty-3, Stan-2)
Ty4on: Stan > VA (Z-Beat-5, ATP-4, VA-4, Leo-3, Ty-3, Stan-1)
SkyOdin: Z-Beat (Z-Beat-6, VA-4, ATP-4, Leo-3, Ty-3, Stan-1)
Randomless: ATP > Z-Beat (Z-Beat-7, VA-4, ATP-3, Leo-3, Ty-3, Stan-1)
Hedin: ATP > VA (Z-Beat-7, VA-5, Leo-3, Ty-3, ATP-2, Stan-1)
FluxWaveZ: VA (Z-Beat-7, VA-6, Leo-3, Ty-3, ATP-2, Stan-1)
Stan: Z-Beat (Z-Beat-8, VA-6, Leo-3, Ty-3, ATP-2, Stan-1)
VA: Ty > Z-Beat (Z-Beat-9, VA-6, Leo-3, Ty-2, ATP-2, Stan-1)
Launchpad: Flux > VA (Z-Beat-9, VA-7, Leo-3, Ty-2, ATP-2, Stan-1)
SephiZack: Faddy > VA (Z-Beat-9, VA-8, Leo-3, Ty-2, ATP-2, Stan-1)
Z-Beat: ATP > VA (Z-Beat-9, VA-9, Leo-3, Ty-2, ATP-1, Stan-1)
HP: Faddy (Z-Beat-9, VA-9, Leo-3, Ty-2, ATP-1, Stan-1, Faddy-1)
Faddy: Leo > Z-Beat (Z-Beat-10, VA-9, Leo-2, Ty-2, ATP-1, Stan-1, Faddy-1)
Reki: Ty > Z-Beat (Z-Beat-11, VA-9, Leo-2, Ty-1, ATP-1, Stan-1, Faddy-1)
Launchpad: VA > Z-Beat (Z-Beat-12, VA-8, Leo-2, Ty-1, ATP-1, Stan-1, Faddy-1)
 

Stantastic

Our Badminton Stanpion
This cold or whatever it is is still kicking my ass, first big posts sounds good to me, that last posts make my eyes hurt.
sorry i wish i had something at all useful to add but god damn my head aint there.
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
If you’re feeling better later, this might be easier to parse

A24f5yX.png
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
man, I was sweating bullets last night when you were confirming if I was a servant. I had it in my head that I would claim servant if I ever had to claim, since I thought claiming master might make us more appealing night kill targets to scum, but I never actually said it in here. I was trying to signal it to you with that "servant in somebody's body", since I said that as "servant in a master's body" in here. I was like shit Stan is going to kill me for lying lmao though with the way things played out, it seems like it might've been a good call.

which is nothing compared to the wild shit that went on this morning I have no idea what to make of this. It feels like Nat's cop claim is bunk but I'm not sure about anything lol no flip from malus yet, I guess I'll see before I post more thoughts.
 

Stantastic

Our Badminton Stanpion
man, I was sweating bullets last night when you were confirming if I was a servant. I had it in my head that I would claim servant if I ever had to claim, since I thought claiming master might make us more appealing night kill targets to scum, but I never actually said it in here. I was trying to signal it to you with that "servant in somebody's body", since I said that as "servant in a master's body" in here. I was like shit Stan is going to kill me for lying lmao though with the way things played out, it seems like it might've been a good call.

which is nothing compared to the wild shit that went on this morning I have no idea what to make of this. It feels like Nat's cop claim is bunk but I'm not sure about anything lol no flip from malus yet, I guess I'll see before I post more thoughts.
Okay then. So all that about being a servant was made up?
Because god i was so confused and gaving to tip toe around the questions was just ahhh.
 

Stantastic

Our Badminton Stanpion
Like it occured to me that we never said in this chat who was master and servant, and the chat opening with the vague "assassin and thier master" had me thinking we might both be assassin servants or something crazy lol, hence the class type question.
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
lol you navigated that very well, I should have told you beforehand but I wasn’t expecting to get punked like that so soon. It didn’t occur to me we might need to coordinate something in the open, either.

I made up the servant bit, but only partially. The role PM does say Jaguar Warrior is a lancer in red text, it’s in a paragraph below the alignment rather than above where it says master/servant, servant, class, etc. I don’t know if that part of the PM interacts with anything. What’s above the alignment is what you’d expect - master, Stan, assassin.

Also, I don’t think I said, but you turned that day around from us being dead to getting Nat out of the picture, so good job with that.

I am thinking it might be a good idea to ask the hunter that was after Nat, if they’ve got the same PM which Id guess they do since they won, to claim. That’d solve a slot really quickly and it’s risky to CC.
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
I was taking a break from analysis after that whole day phase being stressful, or at least I told myself that. I’ve been aggregating the responses to Nat’s fake red and doing some cursory thoughts.

Reki and Ephi are bubbling up to the top right now. Short story is they seemed to be entertaining that the check was wrong more immediately and elaborately than anyone else. Reki’s specifically seems to come from a direction of "if Nat was trying something, I'd look at X" and "this might be a hunter", which would have led to us wasting yesterday and the following day on two non-scum votes.

I’ll have more in a few.
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
Terra seems lock town. Town!Terra crumbs his role early. I haven't even gone back to verify what he's crumb, but he said he did and he's probably right. Not worth spending the time on that imo.

VA's role claim seems weird and believable, I don't think VA of all players goes for an elaborate fake claim like this. Leaning towards thinking he's town.

At this point, that just leaves ATP as the last D2 wagon that I'm unsure of. He also bought my roleclaim very quickly, but other than a wacky opening post D3, he's been hard to read.
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
oh, I was confused as to why Nat came after me until now. It does say I’m a divine spirit in the flavor lol
 

Stantastic

Our Badminton Stanpion
Trouble squaring a lot of VAs actions with a scum context, and HPs performance through D3 subtlety exacerbating the situation rather than solving it.
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
That is... fair. Very fair. lol I'm going to need to look into him more.

Been doing an LP-type vote analysis with times people have been on a winning or second wagon or just off wagon. HP definitely stands out, he's never been on a first wagon - twice on a second wagon, once off-wagon. He's been giving me weird vibes, too. I can definitely see it for him

With the exception of D3 which was a wash with the red check, wee has been off-wagon every day, too. I laid some stuff out with wee in the thread earlier, but her thinking process with respect to her role and lack of solve don't make sense for town!wee is the gist.

Ephi has been on a second wagon every day. She got a bit more fired up today, so I don't know where to go with that, especially with wee and HP.

Reki and Faddy (and me) have been on winning wagons every day.
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
Also, it feels like we’re doing bad, but with how many neutrals there have been, I’m figuring this is at most a 5 player scum team. 19 players currently in the game, tomorrow potentially 17/18. Since they’ve been hitting a lot of one kill nights to get PRs and they hit neutral in Hedin/Flux, numbers wise I don’t think it’s as bad as it seems
 

Stantastic

Our Badminton Stanpion
Nothing very specific but i do not at all feel good about em.
Its more an issue of so many feeling a lot worse lol.
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
I'm really feeling like taking a step back here, I feel like I'm falling into a rut again as the game goes like in the first Fate. I'm at the stage where I start questioning myself a lot and I make bad calls to not follow the things that end up being right, in lieu of some bigger distraction. Feels like that's what happened with VA here.

How I'm looking at the game right now, there are only a handful of players that I feel good about because they have roles to back them up, like Zem, SkyOdin, and you. The Zem and SkyOdin claims back each other up; SkyOdin will probably be killed tonight, if I had to guess, so that'll corroborate that Zem's vig shot went through on A N1.

Otherwise, everyone needs to stay in the POE at this point.
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
I have no idea if you're on this wavelength, but something is definitely feels up with this game. I don't know if Zipped is right and this really is a town vs town game, or if scum is flipping town? The scummiest thing I've saw today was Faddy going off-wagon to vote me when I voted him, and tbh I think that's just Faddy being Faddy. I don't have a solid scum read and I feel like I'm losing my mind.

idk if we need to start focusing on killing Einzberns or what, but I have become very tired at this point
 

Stantastic

Our Badminton Stanpion
Im just now catching up on the day end, i dont believe this is a TvT game because that would be a fucking awful idea in a game this size, its just gathering 28 people together and lying to them about the basic process of the game their playing and letting them lose in what could only turn out to be a confusing and frustrating spiral that pisses everyone off.
And i just dont think LoVe would do that, nor would the game reviewers approve it.
 

Stantastic

Our Badminton Stanpion
Oh Blarg got Modkilled, yeah i wondered if that was coming the second he started approaching trying to do the one thng the mods said not to try and do.
 

Stantastic

Our Badminton Stanpion
OKay im caught up and still confused as to why so many voted Zipped, the conspiracy is wrong (it better be) but it was something anyone could think up given this games framing and lack of scum flips.
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
Yesterday was a bad day for me. Honestly, I kept looking at the game board and the whole thing wasn't making sense to me. Zipped is where I landed for a bit, but it didn't feel right, either. The TvT thing is what you said - anyone could've said that, and he went to the grave shouting about it. I jumped off to see if there were any takes for Faddy, who I still have a bad feeling about. Maybe people thought I was trying to avoid a Zipped vote because we were both scum and just piled on him after seeing that.

I think Faddy and HP looked very sus right now, though. More than anyone else. I got lulled by HP's frustration and Faddy possibly fitting into the bussing mentality who saw it as a good chance to get mad and jump off when I voted him.

Other than those two, I'm not sure where I'd go. There are still a lot of players that stand out as potentials.

Here's my updated POE in rough order of who I trust least to who I trust most with updates (breaks indicate different tiers of reads, too):

Faddy
HPSauce
Hobo
Pandora
Reki
ATP
Ambulance
Ty

Ephi
wee
Fate
Terraforce

Stan
SkyOdin
Zem

There are definitely still names here that stick out to me as being potential scum. Faddy is where I'd start tomorrow.
 

Stantastic

Our Badminton Stanpion
heres an open question, why actually is Terra so high there.

Like everyone is pretty agreed on him leaning far townier than most but when someone brought it up at the end of day there i couldnt actually remember much that really sold that read of him.
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
That's a tough question for me in particular. I've played with Terra so many times at this point, that there's a good chunk of gut involved. He's shown qualities I typically associate with his town play - tenacious/pedantic arguments with players he doesn't know, softing/crumbing his role early, being generally lost on who to push and getting some stuff wrong but making valid points. In Risk, he was just all the way in on bussing me out for several days and wouldn't let that go. Maybe if he was so certain that one particular player were scum and got really intense about it, it would raise some flags, but I haven't seen him do that here.

I think he's shown that he's trying to hunt scum through the reads and points he's made, even though he hasn't been right yet (well, none of us have really so that's not a point against him). I am going to have a tinfoil for him until the game is over, but I just don't see him being scum as likely as it would be some of these other players. If he's scum, it'd be easier to start with a partner and work our way up to him through connections than starting with him imo. I realize that's not how the rest of the game feels, I'm figuring folks are starting to feel anxious that we haven't had a flip, since he got a few votes there at the end.
 

LaunchpadMcQ

...can I smell you?
also I think his roleclaim and the decisions he’s made with that role make sense, even if it’s not provable. Faddy’s claim is way more shady, since he’s chosen just safe options that he could have deduced (Zem). If Terra is scum, it was a huge gamble to say Blarg didn’t move N2, which we know to be true now. Blarg’s partner was Leo, so not scum.

On that note, someone blocking Blarg specifically seemed like a waste for scum to do blindly, so I am feeling like there’s at least some truth to the role blocking being more than one person. The issue is how exactly, although that’s not something I want to spend time on but it’s worth mentioning because of Terra’s check and him being blocked N3/N4 being believable even if his role information wasn’t out there.
 
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