There are some interesting tidbits.
Geno seems to want to bring up jman early. When sparks claims unprompted he does throw out ephi's name as someone who might have come under suspicion that day. It feels a bit weird because it kind of comes out of nowhere I think I'd said I didn't like her post and you agreed at that point but that was all.
Hp suggests with zeke being a mason and all 3 wagons being town scum probably happy to sit back. Feels very plausible we know scum ephi had an early vote on hedin that she just sat on. Oliver James had an early vote on jman that never moved. You got Turm, Geno and z beat all sitting on zeke. Unlikely they are all scum but almost certainly 1 is. Then sneeks and kop sitting on hp. Kop seems worse out of the 2, but sneeks is capable of being extremely sneaky. She was mostly on the fence about the ephi stuff saying she didn't see what we saw, happy to sow paranoia that almost certainly one in our wrassle boyz stable is scum which looks less likely now. And only ever says she will vote ephi to save you, which feels pockety. I said I felt better about her but I've kind of talked myself out of it now lol. Reading even further sneeks first post also brings up donnie's vote..
*tries not to be paranoid*
Geno seemed to slip into the Ephi vote as soon as he saw the two of us start mind melding about it, but doesn't really seem to offer anything of substance there. Just kind of "yeah I can see it" I dunno, that entire day phase I think he was really trying to agree with me so I would town read him.
Neeks is hard because it very much does look scummy when you break it down to those actions but her posts just read as natural and honest with some legit town paranoia mixed in. Like it still really feels like my brain and gut are fighting me on this. Would not write her off, but would flip Kop first.
Looking at the yesterday chances there was at least 1 scum bussing ephi?
That would be: zipped, ec, turm
If rover is town zipped and ephi were both called out early d2, zipped quickly agreed there was probably scum between the 3 of them and voted ephi. Ephi later also pushed zipped as her vote, I can see a world where these 2 are scum, both under scrutiny and bus each other to try and clear the other or at least get some breathing room.
Ec never really seems to comment on any of the ephi stuff but still parks his vote there. Kind of scummy but also kind of ec generally lol
Turm as well ends up there after a very wishy washy day. Tough, really any one of them could be scum and none of them could be.
Rover voters we got sneeks and geno. There is almost certainly one scum here too imo. You've done work on geno, I've expressed my concerns on sneeks above.
There is Rover on you. Moving his vote back to you after your train fell apart felt performative to me. Worth keeping an eye on.
Kop again off a main wagon on turm. Not much to say other than his voting has felt like trying to avoid wagons or that he's not really keeping up with the game.
Off wagon - z beat, OJ, LP. Notable here is twice now lp has ended with a no vote. His unvote d1 does look towny and if sneeks is scum I'd feel even better about him, but he's also a sneaky good player. Again I mentioned earlier that he's agreeable to the reads we are making but obviously never commits to a vote. Z beat and oj are two people who parked early votes on most likely town players d1 then never voted d2. Oj is tough because he was a no show today but worth keeping an eye on whoever replaces in.
What does all this mean? Who knows lol but there are some either/or's.
I dont think geno and turm are scum together. I don't think sneeks and lp are scum together. I think one of the rover voters has to be scum so if geno flipped town I'd be a lot more sus of sneeks. One of z-beat, oj and kop is probably scum. One of the ephi voters could well be scum too.
Then of course there is the paranoia zone. Hp has bamboozled us all and is actually scum. (He did wait till ephi had basically given up before voting) ephi's poke at donnie was scum to scum as a way to pre-emptively adress and direct conversation regarding his late vote movement. (He never voted ephi after all). Are these likely? No. But they are possibilities to think about if there is scum still hanging out towards end game and we've exhausted all strong leads.
I agree with this break down more of less. The Ephi wagon is tough because yeah there's a good case for all of them. Would probably do EC last out of those two, and Zipped depends on the rest of the game. I don't think I would push any of these tomorrow.
I agree with the Rover wagon take here. Again very much depends on how Geno flips. I will say now seeing this was clearly the counter wagon to Ephi does make me feel better about Rover. Zipped kind of melting is something to take note of, but I was kind of pushing away from both of them toward Ephi so who knows.
Yeah Kop just parking on Turms looks not great.
I'm thinking we probably need to pressure LP a bit about that vote. I feel like scum LP would be smart enough to take the bus cred in that spot but it's something to keep in mind.
I know you kind of say it in your next post but yeah, I can't see HP as scum. You, HP, and Donnie are basically lock town for me at this point