Still haven't had the chance to read all of day 1 from the beginning, but at least caught up on all the end of day stuff.
Monkey's initially votes Kawl, then Blarg and Squidy give it a bit more momentum.
Then Pandas, Kark and Nomadic jump on Sorian, creating a counter train.
Topo posts an analysis on CCS, which Nin and Sorian then jump on
So three trains with CCS having a slight lead.
Dusk and Darryl jump onto Kawl giving him the lead
Squidy flips to Kark, CCS and Kyan jump on Kawl. Squidy does a bit more vote hopping, but he's confirmed anyway.
Sorian argues against the Kawl lynch, as does Darryl, but Darryl stays voting Kawl.
I'm going to assume that scum didn't go into the lynch with the intention of bussing, lynch bomb or not, it's still day 1. Monkey's vote was non-committal enough that maybe it wasn't intended to start a train, but Blarg and Squidy solidified that lynch as a possibility. Then Dusk and Darryl break the tie.
So just going by that, I would lean town on Blarg, Dusk and Darryl. Darryl's end of day push is odd, but if he really wanted to swing the lynch he could have done by flipping his vote. If there were any late train bus votes on Kawl, Kyan would fit. Sorian's play there kind of reminds me of early Love Boat 2.