Sawneeks
little green dog
already???PLEASE STANDBY
already???PLEASE STANDBY
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Yeah I found that interesting as well. Hecht also hadn't done much at the time either, but Faddy was likely a deliberate kill. But with 49 players it's difficult to put much effort into theorizing what could have been.holy shit, that's a loss. Wonder why Donna and Crimson were picked though as they weren't super active....
also let's try this again so
hi everyone
Town or Neutral is definitely the most likely outcome for sure. Probably leaning more town than neutral.I'm gonna actually call town on Stuart. I think Grizz pushed way too hard to get him lynched initially.
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I'm gonna actually call town on Stuart. I think Grizz pushed way too hard to get him lynched initially.
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Looked through some of Grizzly's posts, feelfeel like Stuart and Geno probably are town. I have notes I'll share at some point lol.
Hecht was right about Grizzly. I wonder if his Natiko read has any merit...
I mean at that point it was pretty much too late, following Crimsons logic about such a role it would be nonsensical to not vote him out.He didn't even fight that hard after revealing is fake claim.
looool
Can they vote?
No no, just no.
At that point he was done and nothing that came out of his mouth should bd taken serious.
Because of this making the assumption that stuart is town is in my eyes
Pretty dumb.
Maybe Grizzly thought his claim would be taken better than it was? I dunno, it was a weird way to give up. I don't think I've seen him play like that before.
Yeah, problem is I don't have an answer to any question about end of last phase that starts "why would Grizzly..."That’s a lotta deaths.
Eeeehhhh. Why would Grizzly even think we’d stop voting him because he’s a neutral. We certainly weren’t gonna come out and vote Stuart just because of the claim and it’s hard to believe he’s think otherwise.
Too much of a coincidence unless he was throwing stuart under the bus.
Eeeehhhh. Why would Grizzly even think we’d stop voting him because he’s a neutral. We certainly weren’t gonna come out and vote Stuart just because of the claim and it’s hard to believe he’s think otherwise.
Would like to hear why you town-read Geno now.
love the avatar btw. :>
I'll admit, I was pretty much only voting for Grizzly because (at the time of my posting) the votes were way too close, and I wanted to help avoid things ending in a tie, but I'm glad that worked out well for us.
I see your question.
I ignore your question.
These are all Grizzly's posts on Geno (I think, that's what came up on search by post)Looked through some of Grizzly's posts, feelfeel like Stuart and Geno probably are town. I have notes I'll share at some point lol.
Hecht was right about Grizzly. I wonder if his Natiko read has any merit...
I'm curious why Geno isn't commenting on me and Nin choosing Geno, and only going at Verelios.
Thanks @heymonkey
To discuss Stuart - I didn't follow PR so I can't really comment on him based on that game. I'm basing my view on Stuart on him trying to please people - I feel like someone is actively helping him outside this thread. First he backed down from his No Lynch stance in a lazy manner, and now he is suddenly become lot more "assertive", in a complete 180 from his earlier meekness. Getting a good sleep might be a part of it, but it also feels like to me he is getting an outside help, something a scum team could help with. We were both scum in Monopoly, and I remember a similar scenario where we mentored him. His somewhat changing behaviour feels like that same here - him adjusting to advice given to him somewhere outside this game thread. So no, I don't think he is mislynch bait - there could be something here.
That said, I'm more curious to see Verelios' flip over Stuarts for now. I'm also not feeling Geno lynch either - his playstyle can be frustrating, but he has been consistent to his past town games so far.
I remember that @Natiko asked me why I chose Geno in the event, but I never got to answering that before going to bed. I chose him because he was one of the runner ups for the ones to receive most votes in first phase, and I wanted to choose one of those players. I assumed that there won't be that harsh of a penalty for first event, so I didn't really think much of it.
I'd normally agree on this, but Geno does this in every game - he goes super hard OMGUS to anyone voting/disagreeing him. He does this as town. It's aggravating, but it is what it is.
The main argument against me is a meta point - which is okay, but it also means I can't exactly argue against it. And I've already made my stance on Rynam and Vere clear. So yes, I'm having slight fun.
I'm not seeing where you town read Geno from here?Will you lynch Stuart with me Geno <3. Pretty please, I don't want to get another lost game to my repertoire.
Same. Went back to dig up where he first switched from nl to lynch and it kinda reads to me as more dropping it to avoid attention/suspicion rather than being truly convinced that a lynch is the best option going forward? It all feels a little weird to me, I dunno. I feel better about those who have stuck to nl and put up some defense than his abrupt dropping of the topic when people starting going against it.
Here are his other later relevant posts too:
The last one is reading to me like he thinks we are definitely going to mislynch today and get nothing from it too.
vote: zippedpinhead
I feel better about Grizzly after he explained more about staying on Stuart even if I don't agree with it totally. Read back on the Zipped arguments and I like them. He seems to be going under the radar and how he jumped in on the Verelios situation did feel kinda opportunistic.
Still feel like Rynam votes are lazy and aren't going to tell us much. Shelf it for the ITAs tomorrow.
Okay, yeah, that was a little odd. But at that point Grizzly was careening so it's iffy for me.Thanks!
At some point he asks Geno to join in a Stuart vote. Just seems overly risky to openly ask a teammate to do so. A scummate would probably support another teammate's vote more subtly. Will quote posts once I'm at a computer.
He pushed Vere pretty hard too, but not sure what to make of that yet.
I made that edit, continue lol
I dunno if it’s the red text or not but that felt really forceful from Sneeks. Agreed Ynnek looks super not great with the overexplaining but damn, I felt intimidated over here, even.
Neeks, do we need to shoot you before you break everything
I'm just messing with yousorry! i didn't mean to forcefully yell. i'll try not to do it again i promise ( ._.);;;
cool because
Vote: Ynnek7
i think that's bull and your reason for voting grizz over Kawl was terrible. Should've hid the bus better.
Why? Since when is 15 more than a 4th of 50?Oh, tomorrow I think maybe you should.
Speaking of people who DO feel more clear after yesterday: for me, Vere.
Not totally, but I feel good on him.
He also makes me feel better by starting on Geno, one of the people giving m some vibes. But I will dig into that after dinner, when I can get off mobile.
What?Why? Since when is 15 more than a 4th of 50?
I said the number of scum is a about a 4th of the size. I speculated on 15 and you said 15 is more than a 4th. Which is not true.What?
Can you not use a calculator?Why? Since when is 15 more than a 4th of 50?
Are you trolling right now?I said the number of scum is a about a 4th of the size. I speculated on 15 and you said 15 is more than a 4th. Which is not true.
1/4 of 60 is 15I said the number of scum is a about a 4th of the size. I speculated on 15 and you said 15 is more than a 4th. Which is not true.
LOL, in my head I was dividing it by 3 because that's the gamefaqs town/scum ratio. Silly brain. Anyway, factoring in multiple teams 15 is about right.Can you not use a calculator?
Replying to Sawneeks s
When I made my vote, the vote leaders were Grizz, Rynam, and Vere. A vote on Kawl wouldn't have done anything to change the fact that we were at something like a 6v5v5 then.
This is probably the last chance I'll have to post before day end since I'm going to be on the road, so:
Vote: Grizzly
I don't really have much of an opinion other than this train seemed to come out of nowhere in the past hour, but with how close the other two options are, I'd rather help avoid a tie.
I'm thinking Rynam will end up being neutral or town. He popped in for the event to see if he could get anything useful from it, then popped out once that ended. If he had a team backing him up, they'd have gotten him to post a bit more.
Not sure where I stand on Kawl right now. Definitely seems like a scummy move to set up the thunderdome, then only bring it up now.
Not necessarily. I think in Monopoly, Muffin took over from Sweetnicole, said what his role was and town/scum let him live until he left the game naturally.
Could have thought he'd survive "one more day" by doing that since he'd be lynched the next day after my death.
But why would we prioritize your lynch over his at that point?
Multiple teams? Why do you think that?LOL, in my head I was dividing it by 3 because that's the gamefaqs town/scum ratio. Silly brain. Anyway, factoring in multiple teams 15 is about right.
So what are your thoughts on theseFaircure also agreed with Stuart's scum vibes after Grizz pointed it out. Then even after the bandwagon gave Grizz the benefit of the doubt. Don't like that. Scum vibes.
I could go for Apollo or a Grizzly lynch. Am interested in hearing Grizzly's response about Stuart.
I'm not feeling like Stuart is being mentored. Maybe if he was making big, thought out posts I'd think he was getting fed points but he's just been generally active and asking questions. I feel like that's harder to fake, esp if he was nervous scum. He also got kinda pinholed at the start with the no lynch discussion and didn't have much time to talk freely, so I think that could contribute as well?
4 deaths in the night. There's bound to be some neutrals in here. No way a single team can do 4 deaths in 1 night.Multiple teams? Why do you think that?
We should try and use ITA's to clean up AFK's. LP, Rynam come to mind.
Where is your Zubz read coming from? Otherwise this reflects a lot of my thoughts. Obviously that many town flips at once sucks, but we get to narrow down the amount of legitimate town players on Grizzly. I'd also add Poltergust and Muffin to the list of players looking bad upon rereading for last minute voting.Well that’s one shitty night. Also, that was a bizarre update from Sorian. “Hey here’s this thing you can’t interact with, bye”.
Anyways, we got a really good result yesterday - especially with it being a godfather AND a roleblocker (which also leads one to wonder what their other roles might be). I looked over Grizzly to see what all jumped out at me, admittedly most of it was all WIFOM which didn’t help much.
That being said I also looked at the votes - he was lynched by a pretty wide margin so there was probably at least a couple scum bussing him. One thing that stood out to me was the timing of votes. My best guess as to whatever the hell he was doing is that he hoped to get a little heat in order to get checked by a cop. Things obviously took a turn though and at some point scum were probably scrambling with what to do. I would guess since they went with a claim that was pretty dicey they wouldn’t want to bus too late in the process. Within 15 minutes leading up to his claim Monkey, ynnek, Geno, and Hecht voted for him. Obviously Hecht was town, but if I were to guess this would be the best moment for scum to hop on board before given the claim Grizzly threw out. Geno would be the one that seems most suspect to me, at one point Grizzly cast shade at him only to later backpedal and say Geno “wasn’t a good target for a lynch”.
I also still think Apollo, Zubz, and Zipped could be scum. Debating if I want to pew pew an outright scumread or someone that ghosted.
Need to look over the posts of everyone that died too.
That would be one fucked up “other method of killing” unless you meant to make that plural. I’m guessing there’s probably one or two kills that belong to a neutral. I would’ve guessed town even but after Faddy’s flip I’m not so sure.Speculation but I'm thinking the first one was the NK, the rest were through another method of killing.
No way to know for sure though but it's my only guess.
Well that’s convenient, just as I was suspecting that section of voters - you can join Geno in my extra suspect pile.I'll admit, I was pretty much only voting for Grizzly because (at the time of my posting) the votes were way too close, and I wanted to help avoid things ending in a tie, but I'm glad that worked out well for us.
I do think it would be good if people make an attempt to justify their ITAs before hand. I really don’t want to deal with trying to parse who is scum if a bunch of people just start taking shots based on “gut”.Seems like base ITA chance is 15%. Maybe if a group of us target a particular person, we'll have a better chance of killing them as opposed to all of us randomly shooting.
Anyone want to join my gang? Target to ve decided!
Besides the fact that you come in, say the train came out of nowhere and then proceed to give Ry a Town/Neutral read and give nothing on your Grizz thoughts outside of voting for him? Why vote for him at all if the train came 'out of nowhere'?
Bear also wasn't the surefire lynch yet and Kawl still had some rumblings, a vote there could have pushed it.
therefore
ITAs today is why I made that list of super low posters.
It's a big list so I may have missed a few, but just for the record, here are the people who have three or fewer posts so far:
briefs_cat (he/him; EST) NEW
Rynam (he/him; CEST)
Mazre (he/him; EDT)
Lone_Prodigy (he/him; EST)
Blargonaut (he/him; GMT)
Poltergust (he/him; EST)
EzekelRAGE (he/him; CDT)
Trigger (he/him; EST)
SexyFish (he/him; CST)
Not sure about LP, but I would not be opposed to using it on Rynam.We should try and use ITA's to clean up AFK's. LP, Rynam come to mind.
I think that's the first time I see the briefscat name.Since you brought it up, went back and looked for it:
I'll agree considering 2/5 of the roster didn't even vote yesterdayI'll agree with this. It was pretty much my plan. Clean up the AFKs who haven't been replaced. (since Salva replaced Sexy_Fish, we'll see what they have to say when they get here)
Where is your Zubz read coming from? Otherwise this reflects a lot of my thoughts. Obviously that many town flips at once sucks, but we get to narrow down the amount of legitimate town players on Grizzly. I'd also add Poltergust and Muffin to the list of players looking bad upon rereading for last minute voting.
I really didn't get the impression that it could have at that point (voting for Kawl), and while Grizzly wasn't a surefire lynch, he was in the lead when I checked to make that vote.
The reason I even brought up Ry then was because I had been considering voting for him throughout the day, until people started to explain why that wasn't a good lynch. Like others had said, low posters will be dealt with with the day kills.
Vote: verelios
run away day 1 lynches are so boring
...right
Anyway, to business
@melonrabbit
I challenge you to a duel. I propose pistols at [strike]dawn[/strike] ITA phase two.
But why no comment on Grizz despite wanting him dead? You go enough to comment on Ry but not enough to comment on the person you want dead despite a 'sudden train'?
@Kawl lied and got to give a proper explanation instead of that vague half-assed backtrack last day phase.
I'll park this here until we get it.
VOTE: Kawl
Is that a meta justification?That's what Kawl does though. He claims shit and backtracks all the time.
Anyone remember off hand who started the Grizzly push or are you really going to make me dig?
Anyone remember off hand who started the Grizzly push or are you really going to make me dig?
Took me awhile to gather all the quotes up while at work, but seriously what the fuck is all this:
Floundered around and landed on voting Splinter because Melon was "baiting" him? Then backpedaled, and explicitly mentions not wanting to show on the record for a no lynch. Why would you be so concerned about that?
If only there was a third option...
I don't think there's necessarily bad intentions here, but if melon is scum then this has to be one of the easiest pockets in Mafiera history. Such weak reasoning.
I get that you did explain why you wanted a lynch, but how about some reasoning as to who you chose?
Did you seriously expect someone else to do the leg work for you and because they didn't you just tossed your hands up and said fuck it?
Another person dropping a vote with no explanation.
And here is yet another.
I guess you left a tiny explanation of it being gut. The issue being how can it be a gut call, yet also one that you don't have any strong feelings for. Isn't that the point of a gut call that you feel more apt to go one direction than the other?
Kyan is all over the place, alternating between srs business and doing things for the lols.
This is just garbage all around. Just a pile of nonsense to "justify" a vote.
After the fact you provided (bad) justification at least, but at the time nada.
Dropped a bad vote, then came back near the end to sulk away and walk it back.
I don't think all of these people are scum, but stuff like this makes it that much harder to pick out the actual scum. Of this Zubz, Vere, Kyan, and nin come out looking the worst from this in my mind. Oreo, Hecht, Trigger, and hom3land look bad as well, but they're also nothing presences this game so I need more to go on.
Where is your Zubz read coming from? Otherwise this reflects a lot of my thoughts. Obviously that many town flips at once sucks, but we get to narrow down the amount of legitimate town players on Grizzly. I'd also add Poltergust and Muffin to the list of players looking bad upon rereading for last minute voting.
Anyone remember off hand who started the Grizzly push or are you really going to make me dig?
Is that a meta justification?
Where's @briefs_cat