13 alive with Bear dead since Sawneeks is an unperson
2 night kills
11 alive, vote out Chuggs tomorrow
2 night kills
8 alive (2 scum), vote out scum
Only 1 night kill because one team is dead (Geno wouldn't give the other team two kills would he?)
6 alive 1 scum
Or if Chuggs has the Governor shot still
13 alive
2 night kills
11 alive, fail to vote out Chuggs
2 night kills
9 alive, vote out Chuggs
2 night kills
7 alive (2 scum)
We still have some breathing room, more if Chuggs either doesn't have a governor shot or used it already from the Bone Lance.
It would be fucking hilarious if Zook night kills the roleblocked Chuggs tonight