Alpha Fail Day 2
Well..
There goes my plans for this day phase.
I guess I need to rethink my scum reads.
I agree that the Red Ranger's vote that pushed things to a 3-way tie is one of the most suspect votes in the final stretch of Day 1. A three-way tie is a pretty advantageous position for scum, since it gives them plenty of opportunity to either nudge the vote in the direction they desire or just let town tip the scales in a new way.
That's easy, Finster was at the top of my priority list at the time. I think your vote was made at a time when there was a lot of activity going on, and I was catching up and still processing all of the discussion. At the time, I was still scum-reading the Green Ranger and Finster the most of all.
My comments on how your vote look suspicious are based on me just going back and skimming some of the late-day votes a few minutes ago. Other people did comment on it when it happened, but there was a lot else to comment on during those last few hours.
I'm not really following what you are getting at. As I said, you weren't high on my radar or priority list during the last few hours of Day 1. I called out that vote of yours based on a quick check of the Day 1 votes I made shortly after our current day phase started.
I voted on Goldar for two basic reasons:
1) I was present at the time of the end of the vote, so leaving my vote on Finster seemed rather pointless. While I was initially nervous about making a new vote in the hectic last few minutes, it ended up being way less hectic than I expected.
2) After going over the arguments over Goldar vs. Trini, I thought that Goldar was more likely to be scum. He tried for a last-second tie, or whatever the heck he was thinking. That is a pretty strange move when he wasn't yet the vote leader. On the other hand, I felt the arguments about Trini were pretty weak. So, I thought that lynching Goldar gave the better odds of hitting scum. Improving the vote buffer to dissuade any last-second vote shenanigans was also something I saw as being in town's interests.
I have no idea why you are trying to bring yourself into my vote, since you weren't a part of thinking at the time.
Make that "my thinking at the time".
I sometimes hate the no edit rule.
I have to admit, Red, that you have been aggressively defensive so far today. You have been quick to try and turn the conversation to yourself and the votes made on you at every turn. To be honest, it is raising some red flags for me (pardon the pun).
Can you elaborate? I know day 1 was messy, but what do you mean "for me"?
Rita, what about the Trini vote. It was pretty close in numbers, but do you think all of the votes on it were legit town?
Nevermind, I apparently asked a second too late.
I am in agreement with Trini and Skull here. These five players: Red, Blue, Green, Jason, and Tommy are good choices to put pressure on today.
As far as Finster goes, I admit that I was wrong yesterday. I had a pretty good feeling that they were scum, and now that they have been exonerated, I am still trying to find a new, better target to focus on.
As for why they were night-killed, I can only speculate. Finster feels like a more likely target for a vigilante than the scum team. The odds are low, but it is possible that the scum team's attack was blocked last night and someone else killed Finster. It is hard to be certain.
Nothing much other than idle speculation and the presumption that we have power roles in this game. I'm trying to be optimistic. There have been mafia games in the past where town's protective roles were very lucky.
Naturally, scum killing Finster is the most likely truth.
At this early stage of the game, and particularly after my bad reads on Finster, I think I will focus on using the votes from day 1 as my guideline. I have a general theory: that scum are most likely on the third or fourth vote on a lynch. That is the general tipping point where pressure votes and early suspicions start to get turned into a bandwagon.
On that basis, the most suspicious votes on Goldar are the vote made by the Red Ranger and the fourth vote made soon afterwards by the Green Ranger. It was those two votes that changed the entire nature of the lynch vote. Until that point, Trini was at five votes and the Jason lynch was just beginning to fall apart. The two votes on Goldar suddenly created a new viable alternative and immediately changed the whole coversation to "Goldar vs Trini".
Completely disregarding the two player's justifications for their votes, the votes themselves raise some suspicion.
Vote: Green Ranger
I'm picking Green because he never responded to my pressure vote yesterday. I'm open to moving it to Red if the situation changes.
The reason that I was trying to put pressure on the Green Ranger before is because I don't really think he has been doing much scum hunting. It feels like he is checking the thread regularly, posting every now and then to grab the low-hanging fruit, but otherwise keeping his head down. I found it suspicious.
Still, I am inclined to try and relying more on analyzing votes than my gut reads at the moment.
As usual, a couple new pages have popped up while I was asleep.
It doesn't look like anyone really agrees with my reasoning. That's fine, but what bothers me is that it feels like a lot of people are scum reading various people like the Red Ranger, but never putting down votes to back up those scum reads. Why make scum reads at all if half of you are just waiting until the last couple hours to bandwagon?
I mean, I do understand that. But it feels like there are people who have been listed on the scum lists of multiple players who rarely pick up votes because no one is taking the initiative on pushing them.
I don't actually disagree with the two current vote leaders: Jason and Trini. However, I am worried that we are letting a lot of potential scum candidates slip by without much pressure at all.
To clarify my comments on Jason and Trini, I think there are good arguments about both of them.
For Trini, I can't shake the feeling that the Goldar push may have been done to save her from a lynch. I was slightly town reading her yesterday, but now I am less sure of that now. A lot of the other players have been making good arguments about her.
As far as Jason goes, the main case against him has been his erratic and inconsistent reads on people: reading them town one moment and scum the next. Now, I didn't think his Day 1 activity was necessarily scummy so much as haphazard. However, his sudden and poorly-explained changes in reads and such continue to be head-turning.
Neither player is my strongest scum read. However, it feels like no one here will be satisfied unless one or the other is lynched. Still, if one of the two (or both) flips scum, I think it is worth looking into the Red or Green rangers for pushing the Goldar vote on Day 1.
Right now, I think Zack and Rita are my strongest town reads. I liked them yesterday, and I still like them today. It is because I town read them like that that I am inclined to agree with their Trini push.
Okay, I have to say that those are two of strangest picks I can think of for strong town reads. Blue is one of those players I can't get a read on at all, and Tommy was just replaced.
I am feeling worse and worse about the Black Ranger the longer this day goes on. I don't understand his game right now at all, but it no longer feels town.
I would be happy to fix that for you, if you like. My choice between voting you or Green was practically a coun toss.
Make that "coin toss". Typing is hard.
Maybe no one saw it, since it was at the bottom of the page?
Do you really think the Black Ranger is scum, or are you just messing with people's heads here?
@Tommy
I did respond to Green's questioning. It came down to not wanting to stay on a dead end lynch when I had an opinion that Goldar was more likely to be scum. In the end, I was wrong about both Finster and Goldar.
Last I checked, you don't even have a vote down yet today.
Mostly because last minute voting can come very quickly, and I am a slow typer on mobile. In the end, things were slower than I initially feared.
So who are you reading as scum? Your vote is still on the Red Ranger. Do you plan on leaving it there for now?
Just got back from lunch, will be here til the end.
I am tempted to swing my vote over to Red. I was suspicious earlier, and I don't like his tendency to save a vote for the last minute to make specific lynchs happen.
I was okay with the Trini vs Jason showdown since it might resolve some questions, but if I can catch one of my big scum reads I'll go for it.
Vote: Red Ranger
Hold on, what?
I am terribly confused right now.
Oh I see.
Vote: Green Ranger
Are we still on standby?
I've been pushing him as one of my scum all day. I just happened to be wrong. Again.
I clearly need to step up my game.
Is it the fact that I am voting for you?
What's the vote count at?
I'm not sure why I am being singled out as a swing vote here when about three people swung their votes pretty much at once.
I've had my vote on you since Day 1.